Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
12.4039.0%
X3.2828.5%
22.8832.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
WLDDLLWWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Watford
WWDDLDWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
0.50
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.20
Against
5.50
8.70
Total
11.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
1.70
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

0.70goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.10goals per match
Oxford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.50
8.70
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
22.40
Match total
20.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.30
On target
3.40
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches912
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%41.0%+2.0 pp
Draw28.5%29.5%+1.0 pp
Away32.5%29.5%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.301.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.8%
2-19.8%
0-19.0%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.69
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=912.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches317
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.2%26.4%–36.5% CI
Draw FT40.4%35.1%–45.9% CI
Away FT28.4%23.7%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.1%
Away47.9%