Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 12:30
12.2641.5%
X3.3727.8%
23.0630.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
WLWLWLLLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Bristol City
WLDLWLWLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.90
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

QPR attack

2.10goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.30
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.10goals per match
QPR conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.50
Match total
23.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,176
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%43.2%+1.7 pp
Draw27.8%28.5%+0.7 pp
Away30.7%28.3%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.451.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-011.1%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.48
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches375
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.1%28.5%–38.0% CI
Draw FT42.9%38.0%–48.0% CI
Away FT24.0%20.0%–28.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away43.7%