Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 17:30
13.8124.4%
X3.5826.0%
21.8849.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swansea
WWWDWWWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Middlesbrough
WLLWWWLWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.40
10.60
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swansea attack
1.60goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.20Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.70goals per matchSwansea conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.40
10.60
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
21.80
Match total
19.60
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches453
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.4%23.2%-1.3 pp
Draw26.0%27.2%+1.1 pp
Away49.5%49.7%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.04–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
0-111.0%
1-29.9%
0-08.2%
0-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.64–5.43
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%13.8%–26.7% CI
Draw FT41.0%33.3%–49.1% CI
Away FT39.6%32.0%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away59.0%