Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 17:30
13.8124.4%
X3.5826.0%
21.8849.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WWWDWWWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Middlesbrough
WLLWWWLWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.40
10.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.60goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.20
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.70goals per match
Swansea conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.40
10.60
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
21.80
Match total
19.60

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches453
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.4%23.2%-1.3 pp
Draw26.0%27.2%+1.1 pp
Away49.5%49.7%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.041.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-111.0%
1-29.9%
0-08.2%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.43
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%13.8%–26.7% CI
Draw FT41.0%33.3%–49.1% CI
Away FT39.6%32.0%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away59.0%