Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 15:00
11.8450.7%
X3.4826.8%
24.1622.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
DWWLDLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Charlton
DLLDLWDDWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.70
Against
6.50
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.10goals per match
Charlton conceded1.30
Matchup

Charlton attack

1.00goals per match
Watford conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.50
9.80
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.50
Match total
23.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
5.00
On target
2.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches879
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.7%49.5%-1.2 pp
Draw26.8%28.7%+1.8 pp
Away22.4%21.8%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.550.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.4%
1-111.8%
0-09.4%
2-09.1%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.14
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=879.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches282
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%32.1%–43.4% CI
Draw FT40.8%35.2%–46.6% CI
Away FT21.6%17.2%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away38.3%