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Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 15:00

Derby

vs

Stoke

11.9148.7%
X3.4427.1%
23.8524.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DDWLDLWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Stoke
LLWWDDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
6.00
10.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.40goals per match
Stoke conceded1.10
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.60goals per match
Derby conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.00
10.10
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.30
Match total
18.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%47.7%-1.0 pp
Draw27.1%26.8%-0.2 pp
Away24.2%25.4%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.51–1.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.4%
1-111.9%
2-18.9%
2-08.5%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.72–4.32
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,129.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches381
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT39.4%34.6%–44.4% CI
Draw FT36.2%31.6%–41.2% CI
Away FT24.4%20.4%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away41.2%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamStokeForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareDerby vs StokeCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.