Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 20:00
11.5759.7%
X4.1022.9%
25.3917.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Coventry
WWLWWDWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Derby
WDLWWWLLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.00
Against
5.50
8.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Coventry attack

1.50goals per match
Derby conceded1.10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Coventry conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.50
8.80
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches462
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%61.9%+2.2 pp
Draw22.9%20.1%-2.7 pp
Away17.4%18.0%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

2.010.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.5%
1-011.0%
1-110.2%
2-19.7%
3-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.403.81
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=462.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.8%47.5%–65.6% CI
Draw FT30.6%22.8%–39.7% CI
Away FT12.6%7.7%–20.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.4%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.4%
Away40.5%