Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 15:00
12.5636.7%
X3.4027.6%
22.6335.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
WWLWLWLLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Watford
DWWDDLDWDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
9.20
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.90
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

QPR attack

2.10goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.20goals per match
QPR conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
9.20
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.00
Match total
4.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
20.90
Match total
18.80

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches857
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%36.2%-0.5 pp
Draw27.6%27.1%-0.5 pp
Away35.7%36.8%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.331.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-211.2%
1-010.2%
2-18.6%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.82
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=857.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches250
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%30.7%–42.5% CI
Draw FT35.2%29.5%–41.3% CI
Away FT28.4%23.2%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.0%
Away52.8%