Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 12:30
11.7154.8%
X3.8524.3%
24.4820.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WDLWWWDDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Millwall
DLDWLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
12.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.40goals per match
Millwall conceded0.80
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.40goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
12.10
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.40
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

19.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches573
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%60.7%+6.0 pp
Draw24.3%22.3%-2.0 pp
Away20.9%16.9%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.940.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
2-011.7%
1-111.3%
1-09.4%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.114.16
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=573.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.533.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.3%42.3%–58.4% CI
Draw FT33.8%26.6%–41.8% CI
Away FT15.9%10.8%–22.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.3%
Away42.8%