Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 12:30
11.7154.8%
X3.8524.3%
24.4820.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
WDLWWWDDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Millwall
DLDWLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
12.10
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.40goals per matchMillwall conceded0.80Matchup
Millwall attack
1.40goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
12.10
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.40
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.10
Match total
21.80
Shots
19.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches573
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%60.7%+6.0 pp
Draw24.3%22.3%-2.0 pp
Away20.9%16.9%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.94–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.9%
2-011.7%
1-111.3%
1-09.4%
1-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.11–4.16
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=573.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.533.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.3%42.3%–58.4% CI
Draw FT33.8%26.6%–41.8% CI
Away FT15.9%10.8%–22.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals26.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.3%
Away42.8%