Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:00
12.0246.4%
X3.5326.6%
23.4727.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WDWWLDLWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leicester
WDLLLDLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
100%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Against
6.80
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.40goals per match
Leicester conceded1.90
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.40goals per match
Watford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.80
9.80
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.10
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches650
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%44.3%-2.1 pp
Draw26.6%29.1%+2.5 pp
Away27.0%26.6%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.531.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-011.7%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.42
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=650.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches205
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.1%29.8%–42.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%33.5%–46.8% CI
Away FT23.9%18.6%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.5%
Away46.8%