Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:00
11.5261.6%
X4.1722.5%
25.8716.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWDDLWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Oxford
LDLLWLDDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Against
9.10
11.20
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Oxford conceded1.30
Matchup

Oxford attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
9.10
11.20
Match total
12.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.90
Match total
20.70

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.60
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches429
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.6%65.0%+3.4 pp
Draw22.5%20.3%-2.2 pp
Away16.0%14.7%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

2.090.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.1%
2-011.0%
1-110.7%
2-18.9%
3-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.59
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=429.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.0%47.5%–66.0% CI
Draw FT29.9%22.1%–39.2% CI
Away FT13.1%8.0%–20.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.9%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.7%
Away39.3%