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Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 12:30

Derby

vs

Birmingham

12.7034.7%
X3.3328.2%
22.5337.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LDDWLDLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Birmingham
LLLLDWWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.50
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.40goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.70
Matchup

Birmingham attack

0.90goals per match
Derby conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.20
Match total
2.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
21.70
Match total
20.10

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches898
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%32.6%-2.1 pp
Draw28.2%28.4%+0.2 pp
Away37.1%39.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.23–1.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-010.4%
0-110.4%
1-29.4%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.97–4.95
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=898.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.8%23.8%–34.4% CI
Draw FT37.8%32.3%–43.6% CI
Away FT33.5%28.2%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.9%
Away54.0%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamBirminghamForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareDerby vs BirminghamCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.