Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-18 · 19:45
11.9348.5%
X3.6425.7%
23.6325.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWWDDLWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Norwich
LLDDWWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.40
11.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.90goals per match
Norwich conceded1.20
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.90goals per match
Southampton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.40
11.50
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
21.40

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.00
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches572
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%48.4%-0.1 pp
Draw25.7%26.6%+0.9 pp
Away25.8%25.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.691.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-110.8%
1-08.7%
2-07.7%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.49
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=572.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.5%31.2%–46.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%31.2%–46.3% CI
Away FT23.1%17.2%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.1%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals19.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away48.1%