Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-16 · 20:00
12.1842.8%
X3.2229.0%
23.3128.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
WLWDWDWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
LWDLWWWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.30
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Portsmouth conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.90
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,415
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%42.5%-0.3 pp
Draw29.0%32.3%+3.3 pp
Away28.2%25.2%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.341.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.6%
0-010.2%
2-19.6%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.26
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,414.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches498
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.9%28.0%–36.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%40.1%–48.8% CI
Away FT23.7%20.2%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away44.2%