Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
12.6135.9%
X3.2528.8%
22.6535.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LWDLDLLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Watford
LDWWDDLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
11.40
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
Watford conceded1.10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.20goals per match
Stoke conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
11.40
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
21.20
Match total
18.50

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%32.6%-3.3 pp
Draw28.8%30.4%+1.6 pp
Away35.3%37.0%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.201.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-111.3%
1-08.6%
2-18.4%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.70
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches379
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.9%22.7%–31.6% CI
Draw FT40.1%35.3%–45.1% CI
Away FT33.0%28.4%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away53.8%