Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
12.6135.9%
X3.2528.8%
22.6535.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stoke
LWDLDLLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Watford
LDWWDDLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
11.40
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stoke attack
1.20goals per matchWatford conceded1.10Matchup
Watford attack
1.20goals per matchStoke conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
11.40
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
21.20
Match total
18.50
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%32.6%-3.3 pp
Draw28.8%30.4%+1.6 pp
Away35.3%37.0%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS53.7%
Historical average
1.20–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
0-111.3%
1-08.6%
2-18.4%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–4.70
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,147.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches379
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.9%22.7%–31.6% CI
Draw FT40.1%35.3%–45.1% CI
Away FT33.0%28.4%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away53.8%