Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 12:30
11.4764.0%
X4.5020.9%
26.2415.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WWDLWWWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bristol City
WLWLDLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
0.70
50%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
12.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.50goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.20
Matchup

Bristol City attack

0.90goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
12.50
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.00
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.40
Match total
24.40

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches173
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%69.4%+5.4 pp
Draw20.9%20.2%-0.7 pp
Away15.1%10.4%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

2.160.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.5%
3-110.4%
1-010.4%
3-09.2%
1-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.713.40
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=173.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.9%41.4%–67.7% CI
Draw FT35.3%23.6%–49.0% CI
Away FT9.8%4.3%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals49.0%
3+ goals25.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.6%
Away35.3%