Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 12:30
11.7852.7%
X3.9024.0%
24.0323.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Coventry
WWWLWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Southampton
LLLDLDWWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.80
Against
5.40
8.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Coventry attack

1.70goals per match
Southampton conceded1.80
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.60goals per match
Coventry conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.40
8.50
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.70
Match total
22.90

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.80
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%46.5%-6.2 pp
Draw24.0%28.9%+4.9 pp
Away23.3%24.6%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.543.9%
BTTS68.4%

Historical average

1.931.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
2-07.0%
1-27.0%
3-17.0%
2-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.993.80
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Draw FT54.8%37.8%–70.8% CI
Away FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals64.5%
3+ goals25.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.7%
Away67.7%