Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-11 · 19:45
12.7833.7%
X3.3927.6%
22.4238.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Brom
DWWLWLLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Southampton
WLLLDLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.00
1.70
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.30
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Brom attack
1.20goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.80Matchup
Southampton attack
2.00goals per matchWest Brom conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.90
Match total
22.60
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.00
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches571
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%32.4%-1.3 pp
Draw27.6%28.2%+0.6 pp
Away38.7%39.4%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS57.8%
Historical average
1.27–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
0-110.0%
1-29.5%
1-08.6%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.05–5.08
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=571.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.534.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.5%21.3%–34.8% CI
Draw FT34.7%27.9%–42.2% CI
Away FT37.7%30.7%–45.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away55.1%