Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-11 · 19:45
12.7833.7%
X3.3927.6%
22.4238.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
DWWLWLLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Southampton
WLLLDLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
1.70
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.30
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.20goals per match
Southampton conceded1.80
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.00goals per match
West Brom conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.90
Match total
22.60

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.00
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches571
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%32.4%-1.3 pp
Draw27.6%28.2%+0.6 pp
Away38.7%39.4%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.271.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-110.0%
1-29.5%
1-08.6%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.055.08
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=571.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.5%21.3%–34.8% CI
Draw FT34.7%27.9%–42.2% CI
Away FT37.7%30.7%–45.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.3%
Away55.1%