Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-10 · 19:45
17.2612.9%
X4.3421.6%
21.4365.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield Weds
LLLDDLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Watford
WLDWWDDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
7.00
Against
6.40
10.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sheffield Weds attack

0.60goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.40goals per match
Sheffield Weds conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
7.00
Corners against
6.40
10.50
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.90
Match total
18.50

Shots

7.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
1.90
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%7.0%-5.9 pp
Draw21.6%23.3%+1.7 pp
Away65.5%69.8%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

0.702.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.6%
0-114.0%
1-110.5%
0-310.5%
0-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.146.12
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.520.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals30.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.8%
Away73.9%