Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-10 · 19:45
17.2612.9%
X4.3421.6%
21.4365.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sheffield Weds
LLLDDLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Watford
WLDWWDDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
7.00
Against
6.40
10.50
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
0.60goals per matchWatford conceded1.20Matchup
Watford attack
1.40goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
7.00
Corners against
6.40
10.50
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.90
Match total
18.50
Shots
7.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
1.90
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%7.0%-5.9 pp
Draw21.6%23.3%+1.7 pp
Away65.5%69.8%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
0.70–2.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-218.6%
0-114.0%
1-110.5%
0-310.5%
0-29.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.14–6.12
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.520.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals30.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.8%
Away73.9%