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Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-10 · 19:45

Millwall

vs

Derby

12.0445.9%
X3.3128.3%
23.6325.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWLDWWWDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Derby
WLWDLWWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.80goals per match
Derby conceded1.30
Matchup

Derby attack

1.80goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.80
Match total
3.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
20.10
Match total
24.30

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.80
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches771
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%47.2%+1.3 pp
Draw28.3%28.3%-0.0 pp
Away25.8%24.5%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.45–0.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-011.9%
2-110.8%
2-09.7%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.38–4.41
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=771.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches259
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.8%32.1%–43.9% CI
Draw FT39.0%33.3%–45.1% CI
Away FT23.2%18.4%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away41.7%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMillwallForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMillwall vs DerbyCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.