Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:00
12.0346.2%
X3.3228.2%
23.6725.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
LWWWWDWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Stoke
LLLLWWDDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
9.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.70goals per match
Stoke conceded1.20
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.60goals per match
Swansea conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
9.70
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.50
Match total
19.50

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches899
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%47.6%+1.4 pp
Draw28.2%26.9%-1.3 pp
Away25.6%25.5%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

1.440.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
1-112.2%
2-110.2%
2-09.5%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.28
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=899.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches305
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT38.4%33.1%–43.9% CI
Draw FT37.4%32.1%–42.9% CI
Away FT24.3%19.8%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away42.0%