Championship · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:00
11.2674.2%
X5.4117.3%
210.968.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LLDDWLDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sheffield Weds
LDLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.30
1.40
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.60
Against
6.00
10.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.40goals per match
Sheffield Weds conceded2.20
Matchup

Sheffield Weds attack

0.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.00
10.60
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
2.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
20.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
5.40N=10
3.90
On target
1.40
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.2%83.5%+9.3 pp
Draw17.3%12.0%-5.2 pp
Away8.5%4.5%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

2.500.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-013.5%
3-013.5%
2-111.3%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.303.00
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%62.7%–90.5% CI
Draw FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–11.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away16.7%