Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
12.9931.6%
X3.3927.9%
22.3340.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Brom
DWWLWWDLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Luton
LLDLLLWWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
6.10
11.10
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Brom attack
1.50goals per matchLuton conceded1.60Matchup
Luton attack
0.90goals per matchWest Brom conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.10
11.10
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
20.80
Match total
22.40
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.20
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches618
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%32.4%+0.8 pp
Draw27.9%23.1%-4.7 pp
Away40.5%44.5%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.14–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.3%
0-110.7%
1-010.4%
1-210.0%
0-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.81–5.15
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=618.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.5%29.2%–42.4% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT29.9%24.0%–36.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away46.7%