Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
11.6657.0%
X3.9723.8%
24.9219.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
DLLLWWLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Oxford
DDLDLDLLWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Against
7.40
8.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Oxford conceded1.00
Matchup

Oxford attack

0.60goals per match
Swansea conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.40
8.50
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
23.70
Match total
19.90

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.10
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches485
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%60.0%+3.0 pp
Draw23.8%22.9%-0.9 pp
Away19.2%17.1%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.730.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
2-113.0%
2-010.1%
1-19.3%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.113.71
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=485.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.3%41.3%–57.3% CI
Draw FT34.9%27.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT15.8%10.7%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away36.3%