Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
110.758.8%
X6.1515.3%
21.2475.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
LLWWDLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Leeds
DDWWWLDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.10
Against
3.30
8.10
Total
9.30
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.70goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.70goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.30
8.10
Match total
9.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.90
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.50
Match total
21.70

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.10
On target
5.20
20%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.8%4.1%-4.7 pp
Draw15.3%10.8%-4.5 pp
Away75.9%85.1%+9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS37.8%

Historical average

0.572.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-318.9%
0-213.5%
0-112.2%
1-29.5%
1-38.1%

Comparable corner averages

2.687.53
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI
Draw FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT81.3%57.0%–93.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home18.8%
Away81.3%