Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
12.0745.6%
X2.8633.0%
24.4221.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LLLDLWWWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Stoke
DLWLLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
2.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.70
0.60
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
8.90
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
2.20
1.30
Total goals
3.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.60goals per match
Stoke conceded2.20
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.80
Match total
19.40

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
2.40
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%44.7%-0.9 pp
Draw33.0%42.1%+9.1 pp
Away21.4%13.2%-8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.420.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
0-018.4%
2-113.2%
2-010.5%
2-25.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.614.18
Average total8.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.544.7%
Over 10.526.3%
Over 11.515.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal46.2%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away15.4%