Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
12.0845.4%
X3.7625.1%
23.2029.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Coventry
WWLWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Middlesbrough
LLLLWLDWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.80
Against
5.70
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Coventry attack
1.60goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.40Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.00goals per matchCoventry conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.70
10.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.00
Match total
23.60
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%39.3%-6.1 pp
Draw25.1%28.3%+3.2 pp
Away29.5%32.4%+2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.62–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-010.3%
2-19.0%
1-17.6%
1-27.6%
2-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.65–4.37
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT54.3%38.2%–69.5% CI
Away FT17.1%8.1%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away31.4%