Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
11.6158.8%
X3.8724.5%
25.6516.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
DDWWWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Millwall
WWLDWWLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
0.60
2H goals
1.20
30%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.70goals per match
Millwall conceded1.40
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Burnley conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
30%3/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches266
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%61.7%+2.9 pp
Draw24.5%22.2%-2.3 pp
Away16.8%16.2%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.710.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.7%
1-112.0%
2-111.3%
2-09.0%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.73
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.8%41.2%–62.2% CI
Draw FT27.7%19.2%–38.2% CI
Away FT20.5%13.2%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.5%
Away37.3%