Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
11.6158.8%
X3.8724.5%
25.6516.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
DDWWWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Millwall
WWLDWWLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
0.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
0.60
2H goals
1.20
30%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.70goals per matchMillwall conceded1.40Matchup
Millwall attack
0.90goals per matchBurnley conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.40
Match total
23.80
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches266
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%61.7%+2.9 pp
Draw24.5%22.2%-2.3 pp
Away16.8%16.2%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.71–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.7%
1-112.0%
2-111.3%
2-09.0%
3-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–3.73
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.8%41.2%–62.2% CI
Draw FT27.7%19.2%–38.2% CI
Away FT20.5%13.2%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.5%
Away37.3%