Championship · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
11.7753.4%
X3.6925.6%
24.5021.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bristol City
WWLWWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Preston
DWLWLLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.20
Against
6.60
8.60
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.60goals per matchPreston conceded1.30Matchup
Preston attack
0.80goals per matchBristol City conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.60
8.60
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
19.80
Match total
21.50
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.60
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches621
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%59.6%+6.2 pp
Draw25.6%24.2%-1.5 pp
Away21.0%16.3%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
1.74–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.9%
2-112.7%
2-012.2%
1-110.5%
0-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–4.08
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=621.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches209
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.0%37.5%–50.8% CI
Draw FT40.7%34.2%–47.4% CI
Away FT15.3%11.1%–20.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals44.5%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.2%
Away38.3%