Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
12.2541.9%
X3.1629.8%
23.3328.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
LLDWDLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Swansea
LLLWLDLDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
8.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.20goals per match
Swansea conceded1.90
Matchup

Swansea attack

0.80goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
8.90
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.50
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
24.80
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.50
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches933
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%42.6%+0.7 pp
Draw29.8%32.0%+2.2 pp
Away28.3%25.4%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.290.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-012.5%
0-010.4%
2-010.4%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.21
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=933.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches346
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.0%30.1%–40.1% CI
Draw FT43.1%38.0%–48.3% CI
Away FT22.0%17.9%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.5%
Away43.6%