Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
12.4039.3%
X3.0530.9%
23.1629.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hull
LDLLDWWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Derby
LLLDLLWLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
11.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hull attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.90
Matchup

Derby attack

1.20goals per match
Hull conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
11.30
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.40
Match total
3.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.70
Match total
20.70

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches445
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%39.1%-0.2 pp
Draw30.9%31.7%+0.8 pp
Away29.8%29.2%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.200.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.0%
1-112.8%
0-011.7%
0-110.8%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.904.03
Average total8.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=445.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.5%
Over 9.538.4%
Over 10.528.5%
Over 11.520.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%27.5%–41.8% CI
Draw FT43.4%36.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT22.3%16.6%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away42.2%