Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 12:30
12.4738.3%
X3.3028.7%
22.8633.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
LDLLDWDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Coventry
DLWWWWLLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.50
10%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.30
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
1.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
0.60goals per matchCoventry conceded1.50Matchup
Coventry attack
1.40goals per matchLuton conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.00
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.60
Match total
20.80
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.60
On target
4.70
4%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches633
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%37.0%-1.3 pp
Draw28.7%26.7%-2.0 pp
Away33.1%36.3%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.32–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-010.6%
0-110.1%
1-29.6%
2-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.54
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=633.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%25.9%–38.8% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT33.5%27.3%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.7%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.3%
Away55.3%