Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 20:00
12.4438.8%
X3.2728.9%
22.9332.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stoke
WDDWLDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sheffield United
LWWWWWWLLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.80
Against
3.70
8.50
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stoke attack
1.20goals per matchSheffield United conceded1.00Matchup
Sheffield United attack
1.20goals per matchStoke conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.70
8.50
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.00
Match total
22.70
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches804
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.4%+1.6 pp
Draw28.9%31.5%+2.5 pp
Away32.3%28.1%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.25–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-011.7%
0-010.3%
2-19.5%
0-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.29–4.46
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=804.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches293
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.4%24.4%–34.8% CI
Draw FT44.7%39.1%–50.4% CI
Away FT25.9%21.3%–31.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.8%
Away47.4%