Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
11.9348.8%
X3.3328.3%
24.1122.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
WDWWLWWDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Derby
LLLLDLLWLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.60
Against
4.80
11.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.70goals per match
Derby conceded2.00
Matchup

Derby attack

1.00goals per match
West Brom conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.80
11.20
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.20
Match total
21.10

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches484
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%46.1%-2.7 pp
Draw28.3%33.7%+5.4 pp
Away22.9%20.2%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.350.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.5%
1-115.1%
0-012.0%
2-08.3%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.373.76
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=483.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.541.0%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.5%30.8%–44.7% CI
Draw FT44.0%37.0%–51.2% CI
Away FT18.5%13.5%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away37.5%