Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
12.4937.8%
X3.1929.5%
22.8932.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
WWWLWWLDDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Swansea
LLLLWLDLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.70goals per match
Swansea conceded2.00
Matchup

Swansea attack

0.70goals per match
QPR conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
25.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches544
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.9%-2.9 pp
Draw29.5%35.7%+6.1 pp
Away32.6%29.4%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.191.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
0-010.7%
1-010.7%
2-19.7%
0-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.53
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=543.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.3%–34.0% CI
Draw FT48.9%41.8%–56.1% CI
Away FT23.9%18.3%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.4%
Away46.2%