Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
12.0545.9%
X3.4427.4%
23.5226.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
WWLDWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Watford
LDWLDWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.10
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.40goals per match
Watford conceded1.30
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Portsmouth conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.20
Match total
23.40

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches625
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%48.2%+2.3 pp
Draw27.4%28.3%+1.0 pp
Away26.7%23.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.470.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-012.0%
2-111.0%
2-010.4%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.33
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=625.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT42.5%36.0%–49.2% CI
Draw FT37.7%31.5%–44.4% CI
Away FT19.8%15.0%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away40.6%