Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
12.4937.8%
X3.2229.2%
22.8632.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
WLDLLDWDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Bristol City
LDLDDDWDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.30
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.70
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
0.50goals per matchBristol City conceded1.20Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.00goals per matchLuton conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.10
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.90
Match total
20.20
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
4%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches748
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%33.8%-4.0 pp
Draw29.2%32.9%+3.6 pp
Away32.9%33.3%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.20–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
1-010.0%
0-19.5%
2-18.6%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.63
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=747.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches231
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%21.9%–33.4% CI
Draw FT44.6%38.3%–51.0% CI
Away FT28.1%22.7%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals11.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.9%
Away50.6%