Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
12.4937.8%
X3.2229.2%
22.8632.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLDLLDWDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Bristol City
LDLDDDWDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.30
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.70
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.20
Total goals
2.20
30%3/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

0.50goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.20
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.00goals per match
Luton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.10
Match total
2.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.90
Match total
20.20

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
4%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches748
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%33.8%-4.0 pp
Draw29.2%32.9%+3.6 pp
Away32.9%33.3%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.201.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.8%
1-010.0%
0-19.5%
2-18.6%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.63
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=747.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches231
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%21.9%–33.4% CI
Draw FT44.6%38.3%–51.0% CI
Away FT28.1%22.7%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.9%
Away50.6%