Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
11.2575.4%
X5.7316.4%
211.578.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
WDWWWWDWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Stoke
DDLWLLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.90
Against
5.70
10.90
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
2.60goals per matchStoke conceded1.60Matchup
Stoke attack
1.00goals per matchLeeds conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.70
10.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.60
Match total
20.20
Shots
18.30N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.4%82.9%+7.5 pp
Draw16.4%13.2%-3.3 pp
Away8.1%3.9%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
2.54–0.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-015.8%
2-115.8%
1-011.8%
2-011.8%
1-19.2%
Comparable corner averages
7.76–2.89
Average total10.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.536.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.2%49.1%–87.5% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.4%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home94.4%
Away27.8%