Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
11.2575.4%
X5.7316.4%
211.578.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WDWWWWDWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Stoke
DDLWLLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.90
Against
5.70
10.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

2.60goals per match
Stoke conceded1.60
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.70
10.90
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.60
Match total
20.20

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.4%82.9%+7.5 pp
Draw16.4%13.2%-3.3 pp
Away8.1%3.9%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

2.540.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.8%
2-115.8%
1-011.8%
2-011.8%
1-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.762.89
Average total10.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.2%49.1%–87.5% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.4%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.4%
Away27.8%