Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
11.8949.9%
X3.3628.1%
24.2722.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
DDWWDWLLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Oxford
DDDLDLDLLW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
7.40
10.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.20goals per match
Oxford conceded1.00
Matchup

Oxford attack

0.60goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.40
10.00
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.00
Match total
19.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.50
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches711
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%49.4%-0.5 pp
Draw28.1%30.5%+2.5 pp
Away22.1%20.1%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.420.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-013.9%
0-010.8%
2-010.3%
2-110.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.593.92
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=710.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%31.2%–43.2% CI
Draw FT45.1%39.0%–51.4% CI
Away FT17.9%13.6%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away39.8%