Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
11.8949.9%
X3.3628.1%
24.2722.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
DDWWDWLLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Oxford
DDDLDLDLLW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
7.40
10.00
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.20goals per matchOxford conceded1.00Matchup
Oxford attack
0.60goals per matchCardiff conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.40
10.00
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.00
Match total
19.30
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.50
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches711
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%49.4%-0.5 pp
Draw28.1%30.5%+2.5 pp
Away22.1%20.1%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS47.0%
Historical average
1.42–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-013.9%
0-010.8%
2-010.3%
2-110.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.59–3.92
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=710.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%31.2%–43.2% CI
Draw FT45.1%39.0%–51.4% CI
Away FT17.9%13.6%–23.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.3%
Away39.8%