Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 20:00
18.5011.1%
X4.8619.3%
21.3569.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
WWWWDLLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Leeds
WDDWWWLDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.50
Against
3.30
10.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.50goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.70goals per match
Oxford conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.30
10.20
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
2.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.00
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.20
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.1%5.3%-5.8 pp
Draw19.3%26.3%+7.0 pp
Away69.6%68.4%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

0.632.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-313.2%
1-113.2%
0-113.2%
1-210.5%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.456.33
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away55.6%