Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
14.6820.2%
X3.4427.4%
21.8052.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LLLLLWLWDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Burnley
WDWWDDWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
0.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
0.30
50%
Goal in 2H
30%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.10
10.10
Total
8.30
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.20
2.10
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Watford attack

0.80goals per match
Burnley conceded0.20
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.40goals per match
Watford conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
30%3/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.10
10.10
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
20.40
Match total
24.70

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.70
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%17.2%-2.9 pp
Draw27.4%32.8%+5.3 pp
Away52.4%50.0%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

0.981.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-213.8%
0-112.1%
0-012.1%
0-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.095.53
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI
Draw FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.1%
Away61.9%