Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
12.2741.5%
X3.4027.7%
23.0730.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stoke
LWDDWLDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sheffield Weds
LLWLWLWWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.10
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stoke attack
1.00goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded1.70Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
1.40goals per matchStoke conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.60
Match total
24.40
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%43.2%+1.6 pp
Draw27.7%28.8%+1.0 pp
Away30.7%28.1%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.40–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-012.8%
2-19.8%
0-18.8%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.38–4.54
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,144.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches367
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.4%30.7%–40.4% CI
Draw FT38.4%33.6%–43.5% CI
Away FT26.2%21.9%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals11.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away43.1%