Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
11.3768.7%
X5.0818.5%
27.3712.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
DDDWLLWWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Plymouth
LLDDLDLWDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Against
7.30
9.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.30goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.70Matchup
Plymouth attack
0.50goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.30
9.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.80
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
20.80
Match total
23.80
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
5.70N=10
4.00
On target
1.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%69.2%+0.5 pp
Draw18.5%25.2%+6.6 pp
Away12.8%5.7%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.542.8%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
2.43–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-010.7%
1-19.4%
2-19.4%
2-08.8%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.37–3.23
Average total9.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Away FT2.9%0.5%–14.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.8%
Away20.6%