SXIStatsXI
← Results/Championship
Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 12:30

Derby

vs

Luton

12.5536.9%
X2.9931.5%
22.9731.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LLLLDLWWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Luton
LLLDLLLWWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.80
10%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
9.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
1.30
Total goals
2.70
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.60goals per match
Luton conceded1.80
Matchup

Luton attack

0.90goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
9.10
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.90
Match total
23.30

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
2.00
On target
2.30
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%33.3%-3.5 pp
Draw31.5%36.1%+4.7 pp
Away31.7%30.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.513.9%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.07–1.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.2%
1-012.5%
0-111.1%
0-010.4%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.68–4.42
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.514.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.0%15.9%–39.6% CI
Draw FT44.0%31.2%–57.7% CI
Away FT30.0%19.1%–43.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away46.0%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamLutonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareDerby vs LutonCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.