Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
11.7155.0%
X3.6226.0%
24.9319.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
WWWDDWLWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Swansea
WLLLLWLDLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.00
Against
4.90
8.70
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.50goals per matchSwansea conceded2.10Matchup
Swansea attack
0.80goals per matchSunderland conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.90
8.70
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.80
Match total
22.50
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.70
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.0%57.0%+2.0 pp
Draw26.0%26.0%+0.0 pp
Away19.1%17.1%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS46.5%
Historical average
1.64–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.9%
2-112.4%
1-112.3%
2-011.9%
0-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–3.86
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=604.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.3%36.8%–50.1% CI
Draw FT39.0%32.7%–45.8% CI
Away FT17.6%13.1%–23.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.4%
Away40.0%