Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
13.1130.3%
X3.2728.8%
22.3040.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
QPR
WWWWLWWLDD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bristol City
DLDLDDDWDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.00
Against
5.00
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
QPR attack
1.80goals per matchBristol City conceded1.20Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.00goals per matchQPR conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.00
8.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
26.00
Match total
20.20
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.40
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches490
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%29.8%-0.5 pp
Draw28.8%27.8%-1.0 pp
Away40.9%42.4%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS47.6%
Historical average
1.03–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
0-111.8%
1-011.4%
0-08.8%
0-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–4.88
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=490.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.5%21.2%–34.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%32.7%–47.7% CI
Away FT32.5%25.7%–40.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away50.6%