Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.3540.1%
X3.0131.3%
23.2928.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
WWWLDWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Derby
DLLLLDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.40
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.60goals per match
Derby conceded1.80
Matchup

Derby attack

0.80goals per match
Portsmouth conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
21.80
Match total
20.30

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches620
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%41.3%+1.2 pp
Draw31.3%30.8%-0.5 pp
Away28.6%27.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.240.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-013.2%
0-010.8%
0-19.7%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.844.07
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.539.2%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.520.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches235
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%29.1%–41.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%35.6%–48.1% CI
Away FT23.4%18.4%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.5%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away45.5%