Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.8433.1%
X3.2928.6%
22.4638.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
LWLLDWDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Middlesbrough
DWLLLLWLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.40
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.30goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.40
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
24.40
Match total
21.70

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.30
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches562
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%30.6%-2.5 pp
Draw28.6%28.3%-0.3 pp
Away38.3%41.1%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.151.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
0-111.7%
2-18.9%
0-08.7%
1-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.85
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%23.4%–36.5% CI
Draw FT38.3%31.5%–45.5% CI
Away FT32.2%25.9%–39.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.3%
Away52.5%