Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.2841.3%
X3.2828.7%
23.1330.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
LDDWWDWLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Stoke
LDDLWLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.20goals per matchStoke conceded1.80Matchup
Stoke attack
0.90goals per matchCardiff conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.00
Match total
20.20
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%41.0%-0.2 pp
Draw28.7%31.9%+3.3 pp
Away30.1%27.0%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.31–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-012.4%
0-09.4%
2-18.8%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.43
Average total9.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,220.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches416
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.7%27.4%–36.4% CI
Draw FT42.3%37.7%–47.1% CI
Away FT26.0%22.0%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.5%
Away44.5%