Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.2841.3%
X3.2828.7%
23.1330.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
LDDWWDWLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Stoke
LDDLWLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.20goals per match
Stoke conceded1.80
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.90goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.00
Match total
20.20

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%41.0%-0.2 pp
Draw28.7%31.9%+3.3 pp
Away30.1%27.0%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.311.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-012.4%
0-09.4%
2-18.8%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.43
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,220.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches416
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.7%27.4%–36.4% CI
Draw FT42.3%37.7%–47.1% CI
Away FT26.0%22.0%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away44.5%