Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-09 · 19:45
11.6357.6%
X3.8324.5%
25.2417.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WWDLLLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Plymouth
LLLDDLDLWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Against
7.20
8.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.20goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.60
Matchup

Plymouth attack

0.50goals per match
Swansea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.20
8.50
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
23.60
Match total
23.80

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
6.30N=10
3.70
On target
1.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches456
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%58.3%+0.8 pp
Draw24.5%23.7%-0.8 pp
Away17.9%18.0%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.670.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
1-112.1%
2-110.7%
2-09.2%
0-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.043.66
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=456.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches143
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%38.2%–54.3% CI
Draw FT35.0%27.6%–43.1% CI
Away FT18.9%13.3%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away40.6%