Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-08 · 20:00
14.5820.6%
X3.8124.8%
21.7354.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WDDDWLLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Leeds
WWDDWWWLDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.80
Against
3.00
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.40goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.80goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.00
9.10
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.00
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.00
Match total
21.20

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.00
On target
5.60
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%20.0%-0.6 pp
Draw24.8%23.0%-1.8 pp
Away54.6%57.0%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

0.971.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.8%
1-210.8%
0-210.5%
0-08.9%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.155.77
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%13.9%–30.0% CI
Draw FT36.5%27.5%–46.4% CI
Away FT42.7%33.3%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away58.3%